Starting pitchers
The biggest single factor in baseball odds. The AI weighs each starter’s recent form and history against the opposing lineup.
Baseball · MLB
Baseball is a numbers game: 162 games per team, nearly every day from spring to fall. That makes it perfect for artificial intelligence. SafeBet’s AI has analyzed 4,500+ MLB games and weighs pitching matchups, lineups and historic data against the sportsbook odds to find daily value.
Updated
Bet types
The AI covers 7 types of MLB bets. Every pick comes with an AI Safe Score from 1 to 99 and a breakdown of the reasoning, the risks and the best place to bet it.
The winner of the game, according to the AI.
How many runs will be scored? Just ask the AI for advice.
Baseball’s version of the spread — usually 1.5 runs. Back a favorite at -1.5 and it has to win by 2 or more.
Pitcher props on the number of strikeouts in a game.
Batter props on total bases: a single counts 1, a double 2, a triple 3 and a home run 4.
Bets on the first five innings only — isolating the starting pitching matchup.
Several MLB picks combined into one ticket for a bigger payout.
Free tools for MLB bettors: Parlay calculator EV calculator Odds converter
Prefer an exchange over a sportsbook? Best US prediction markets
Inside the model
Don’t bet with emotions. SafeBet’s AI weighs the same factors every time — and only sends a pick when the numbers say the odds are wrong.
The biggest single factor in baseball odds. The AI weighs each starter’s recent form and history against the opposing lineup.
Lineup cards change every day. The AI waits for the formation before it locks a pick.
Thousands of games of head-to-head results, ballpark effects and scoring patterns.
The AI calculates its own odds for every game. A pick is only sent when the sportsbook line is off — and the AI Safe Score shows how strong that edge is.
With games almost every day, MLB picks usually arrive on game day, once the lineups are known.
Track record
Real MLB picks from SafeBet — wins and losses. Across the 10 picks below, the record is 6–3–1 (W–L–P) for +4.25u at 1 unit per pick.
Week 36 ·
MLB single · Won
San Diego Padres – San Francisco Giants
Run line
San Diego Padres -1.5 +100
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Week 29 ·
MLB single · Won
New York Yankees – Tampa Bay Rays
Run line
New York Yankees -1.5 +125
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Week 22 ·
MLB single · Won
Toronto Blue Jays – Pittsburgh Pirates
Run line
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +120
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Week 21 ·
MLB single · Won
Tampa Bay Rays – Kansas City Royals
Run line
Kansas City Royals -1.5 +150
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Week 19 ·
MLB single · Lost
Milwaukee Brewers – St. Louis Cardinals
Run line
St. Louis Cardinals -2 +215
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Week 18 ·
MLB single · Lost
New York Yankees – Detroit Tigers
Run line
New York Yankees -1.5 +130
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Week 16 ·
MLB single · Push
New York Yankees – Tampa Bay Rays
Run line
New York Yankees -2 +145
SafeBet.AI
Full pick breakdown for members
Kansas City Royals – Chicago White Sox
Over/under
Total under 8 -105
SafeBet.AI
Colorado Rockies – Cincinnati Reds
Run line
Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +135
SafeBet.AI
Houston Astros – Oakland Athletics
Winner
Oakland Athletics +150
SafeBet.AI
Units at a flat 1-unit stake per pick at the posted odds; pushes return the stake. Past results don’t guarantee future results. See all free-pick results.
FAQ
The run line is baseball’s version of the point spread, almost always set at 1.5 runs. The favorite (-1.5) must win by at least 2 runs; the underdog (+1.5) covers if it wins, or loses by just 1. Our 2024 free picks include several run-line winners, like San Diego Padres -1.5 at +100.
With an alternative run line of -2, the team must win by 3 runs or more. If it wins by exactly 2, the bet is a push and your stake is returned — which is what happened with our New York Yankees -2 pick in April 2024.
Almost daily during the season. The AI selects the 3 best opportunities across all sports each day, and with up to 15 MLB games on a single day, baseball often makes the cut.
No problem. We have one Full Access Pass for all sports — no sneaky upsells — so you simply follow the MLB picks and skip the rest. Plenty of members only follow one or two sports.
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